Hurricane Stan

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 042040
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
2100Z TUE OCT 04 2005

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
COASTAL WARNINGS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 95.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 95.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 95.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.3N 96.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 95.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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