Hurricane Stan

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 050331
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202005
0300Z WED OCT 05 2005

...CORRECTION FOR SYNOPTIC POSITION...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 96.6W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 96.6W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 96.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N 97.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.5N 97.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 96.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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