Tropical Depression Ten

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 140833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005
0900Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 70.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 70.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 70.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.1N 69.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.1N 68.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.7N 65.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.9N 62.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 41.5N 56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 47.5N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB


$$



000
WTNT25 KNHC 140844
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102005
0900Z SUN AUG 14 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 45.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.3N 47.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.4N 48.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 49.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 46.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB


$$