Tropical Storm Alberto

Forecast Advisory 11



186
WTNT21 KNHC 122021
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
2100Z MON JUN 12 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO
ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE
SAVANNAH RIVER...AT THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SOUTH OF
ENGLEWOOD TO BONITA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 85.1W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......125NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 85.1W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 85.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.9N 84.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.4N 83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.1N 81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 34.0N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N 72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 42.0N 65.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 47.0N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 85.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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