Tropical Storm Beryl

Forecast Advisory 1

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332
WTNT22 KNHC 181429
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 73.4W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 73.4W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 73.4W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.3N 73.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.9N 74.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.7N 74.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.9N 74.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 38.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.0N 63.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 73.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

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FORECASTER STEWART