Tropical Storm Chris

Forecast Advisory 7

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300
WTNT23 KNHC 020828
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
0900 UTC WED AUG 02 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANGUILLA...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN...AND
ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 62.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 65NE 50SE 25SW 35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 62.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 62.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.4N 64.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.0N 65.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.6N 67.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N 69.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.2N 73.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.3N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.5N 82.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 62.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART