Tropical Storm Chris

Forecast Advisory 12

---

468
WTNT23 KNHC 031435
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2006

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 67.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 67.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 66.8W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 68.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 70.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.4N 73.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N 75.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 90.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 67.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH