Tropical Storm Debby

Forecast Advisory 11



580
WTNT24 KNHC 240830
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
0900 UTC THU AUG 24 2006


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 36.3W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 36.3W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 35.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.6N 38.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.8N 41.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N 44.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 47.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 30.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 34.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 36.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA