Tropical Storm Debby

Forecast Advisory 14



280
WTNT24 KNHC 250245
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
0300 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 41.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 41.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 40.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.9N 43.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.6N 46.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.2N 48.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.1N 50.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 32.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 41.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




213
WTNT25 KNHC 250249
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 63.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 63.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 63.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 13.7N 66.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 68.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.3N 71.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 63.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB