Tropical Storm Debby

Forecast Advisory 16

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229
WTNT25 KNHC 251434
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1500 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 66.4W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 66.4W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 65.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.2N 68.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 71.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.9N 73.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.9N 76.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





846
WTNT24 KNHC 251443
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
1500 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 43.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 43.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 42.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.3N 45.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.2N 47.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.2N 49.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 20SE 20SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.2N 49.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 65NE 55SE 50SW 65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 42.0N 42.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 48.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 43.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN