Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 7

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782
WTNT24 KNHC 260836
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
0900 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 46.7W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 46.7W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 46.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.4N 48.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.6N 49.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 31.5N 48.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 46.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA





216
WTNT25 KNHC 260844
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0900 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 70.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 70.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.4N 72.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N 74.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 77.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N 89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 70.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA