Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 8

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007
WTNT25 KNHC 261432
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1500 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HISPANIOLA FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.

INTERESTS IN ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 71.2W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 71.2W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 70.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.8N 73.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.4N 78.1W...OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.9N 80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 84.0W...OVER WESTERN CUBA
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 87.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 27.0N 88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 71.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





388
WTNT24 KNHC 261436
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
1500 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 47.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 47.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 46.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.7N 48.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 29.5N 49.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN