Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 22

---

702
WTNT25 KNHC 300254
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2006

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
NORTH OF BONITA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FLORIDA IS ALSO
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTHWARD...AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE
BERRY ISLANDS... THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 80.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 80.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.6N 81.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.6N 80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 31.2N 80.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.8N 79.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.5N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N 78.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 80.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN