Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 27

---

959
WTNT25 KNHC 310900
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 80.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 75SE 40SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 80.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 32.1N 79.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 34.6N 78.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.0N 78.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.3N 78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 44.5N 80.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 80.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB