Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 30

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133
WTNT25 KNHC 010236
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT NORTH OF ERNESTO.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN
THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 78.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE 60SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 60SW 25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 78.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 78.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.7N 77.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.6N 77.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 39.4N 77.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 41.7N 78.4W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 78.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN