Hurricane Ernesto

Forecast Advisory 31

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587
WTNT25 KNHC 010850
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE FEAR
NORTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT NORTH OF ERNESTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 77.8W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 77.8W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 78.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.7N 77.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.6N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 40.5N 78.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 42.7N 79.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 77.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB