Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 3

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657
WTNT21 KNHC 040837
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC MON SEP 04 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 41.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 41.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 40.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N 42.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.4N 45.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 47.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

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FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA