Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 7

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127
WTNT21 KNHC 050827
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 45.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 45.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.4N 47.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.2N 49.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.9N 50.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.5N 53.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 23.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 45.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

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FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA