Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 8

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262
WTNT21 KNHC 051439
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 47.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 47.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 46.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.9N 48.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.6N 50.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.1N 55.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 59.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.3N 63.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

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FORECASTER STEWART