Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 9

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206
WTNT21 KNHC 052030
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 48.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 48.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 48.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N 49.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.8N 51.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.7N 54.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.6N 56.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.3N 61.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 65.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART