Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 22

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951
WTNT21 KNHC 090250
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 61.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......300NE 200SE 60SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 100SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 61.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 60.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 80SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 80NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 100SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N 65.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 275SE 100SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.7N 65.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 100SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.5N 63.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...350NE 350SE 150SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 42.5N 57.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 48.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 61.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/LANDSEA