Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 27



151
WTNT21 KNHC 100858
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006

AT 500 AM...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 65.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 225SE 150SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 65.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N 65.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...275NE 200SE 100SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.4N 63.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.5N 56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 47.0N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 50.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 65.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN