Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 28

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632
WTNT21 KNHC 101445
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.9W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 225SE 175SW 475NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.9W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.3N 66.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.7N 65.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 90SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.4N 63.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 100SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 38.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.5N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 48.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 48.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH