Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 30

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064
WTNT21 KNHC 110247
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......225NE 175SE 90SW 225NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 66.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 90SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.0N 64.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 90SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.5N 63.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...325NE 250SE 125SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.4N 60.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW.
34 KT...350NE 300SE 200SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 46.0N 53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...200NE 300SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 48.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 49.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB





831
WTNT22 KNHC 110251
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 54.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.3N 55.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.7N 56.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.4N 57.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.2N 59.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BERG