Hurricane Florence

Forecast Advisory 32

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907
WTNT22 KNHC 111427
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 56.7W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 56.7W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 56.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.4N 57.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.3N 58.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N 59.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.3N 60.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 29.0N 62.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 32.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 56.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





003
WTNT21 KNHC 111437
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 65.6W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 65.6W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 34.7N 64.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.1N 63.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.0N 60.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 43.4N 56.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...350NE 350SE 200SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 47.5N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 50.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 65.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH