Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 2



030
WTNT22 KNHC 110832
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 55.1W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 55.1W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 54.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.7N 55.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.3N 57.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.1N 58.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.1N 59.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 25.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 28.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 31.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 55.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN




653
WTNT21 KNHC 110858
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 66.0W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 66.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.6N 65.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 90SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.0N 64.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.5N 62.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 41.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...350NE 350SE 200SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 46.5N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 50.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 66.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN