Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 12

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313
WTNT23 KNHC 132038
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 30.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 30.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 29.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 12.9N 33.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.6N 36.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.7N 39.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 41.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 44.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 46.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 30.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





154
WTNT22 KNHC 132042
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 57.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 57.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 57.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.2N 55.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N 54.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.5N 53.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 41.5N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 57.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN