Hurricane Gordon

Forecast Advisory 16

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718
WTNT22 KNHC 142036
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 54.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 54.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.3N 54.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.1N 53.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.9N 52.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.8N 51.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 40.5N 39.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 54.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN





865
WTNT23 KNHC 142043
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 37.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 37.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 37.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.8N 39.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 42.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 45SE 45SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.3N 44.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 60SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 46.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 37.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN