Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 2

---

809
WTNT23 KNHC 122032
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 23.9W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 23.9W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 23.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.0N 26.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.3N 29.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 12.6N 33.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.3N 36.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 23.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





298
WTNT21 KNHC 122035
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 59.3W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT.......180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 375SE 450SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 59.3W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 41.8N 56.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 47.2N 46.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 49.5N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 420SE 360SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 59.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FLORENCE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH




880
WTNT22 KNHC 122050
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 58.4W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 58.4W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 58.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.6N 58.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 27.7N 58.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 36.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 40.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH