Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 3

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357
WTNT22 KNHC 130230
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 57.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 57.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 57.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.6N 57.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 33.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 37.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 57.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





729
WTNT23 KNHC 130248
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 25.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 25.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 24.6W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.1N 27.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.4N 31.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.9N 34.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 38.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.3N 43.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 25.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA