Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 5

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023
WTNT23 KNHC 131432
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 28.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 27.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.2N 30.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.8N 34.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N 39.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 43.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 28.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





195
WTNT22 KNHC 131435
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 57.9W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 57.9W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 57.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.4N 57.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.2N 56.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.8N 55.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 32.1N 54.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 34.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 36.5N 50.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 57.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN