Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 7



610
WTNT22 KNHC 140246
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 57.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 57.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 57.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.3N 56.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N 54.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




250
WTNT23 KNHC 140251
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 32.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 32.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 31.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.7N 35.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.7N 37.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.9N 39.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 41.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N 43.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 45.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 32.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA