Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 8

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439
WTNT23 KNHC 140849
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 34.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 34.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 33.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.1N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.2N 39.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 41.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.8N 43.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 34.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





991
WTNT22 KNHC 140857
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 56.6W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 85SW 85NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 56.6W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 56.8W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.1N 55.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.4N 54.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 32.3N 53.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.8N 53.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 42.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 56.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB