Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 9

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761
WTNT22 KNHC 141434
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 55.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 55.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 56.2W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.7N 54.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.8N 53.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.6N 53.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.6N 52.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 39.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 43.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 55.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN





846
WTNT23 KNHC 141444
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 36.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 36.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 36.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N 39.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.8N 42.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 44.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 75SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 75SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 36.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER COBB/BEVEN