Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 27

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845
WTNT23 KNHC 190229
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 51.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 51.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 51.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.6N 52.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 54.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.4N 55.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.7N 57.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 31.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 35.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 39.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





271
WTNT22 KNHC 190229
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE AZORES
HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE AZORES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 41.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 225SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 41.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 43.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 38.2N 37.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.3N 30.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.5N 22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 75SE 75SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 42.0N 13.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 41.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH