Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 29

---

124
WTNT22 KNHC 191431
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 35.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 27 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 225SE 225SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 35.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 37.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.1N 30.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 30SE 30SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.0N 22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 41.0N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 35.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





916
WTNT23 KNHC 191450
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 52.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 375SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 52.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 52.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 54.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 130SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.9N 55.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 85SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 130SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 190SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.7N 56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 190SE 160SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 35.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...110NE 95SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 170SW 190NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 39.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N 40.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 52.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER MUSHER