Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 30

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608
WTNT22 KNHC 192037
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 31.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 29 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 35SE 35SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 225SE 225SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 31.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 33.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.1N 26.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 30SE 30SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.0N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 42.1N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 31.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





187
WTNT23 KNHC 192051
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 95NE 70SE 55SW 95NW.
34 KT.......190NE 140SE 115SW 165NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 54.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 53.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.2N 55.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 95NE 70SE 60SW 95NW.
34 KT...195NE 140SE 120SW 165NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.7N 56.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 85SE 65SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 165SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.9N 56.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 135SW 155NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 32.0N 56.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 95NW.
34 KT...215NE 190SE 150SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N 51.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 105SE 85SW 100NW.
34 KT...215NE 205SE 175SW 190NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 45.3N 41.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N 30.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 54.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MUSHER