Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 44

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356
WTNT23 KNHC 230836
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 48.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 135SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 200SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 350SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 48.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 49.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 38.2N 44.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 135SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT...225NE 240SE 200SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.7N 40.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
50 KT...100NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...225NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 41.5N 35.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
50 KT...120NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 43.3N 31.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 46.8N 23.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 50.4N 16.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 55.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART