Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 47



937
WTNT23 KNHC 232031
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 44.4W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 115SE 115SW 90NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 300SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 400SE 400SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 44.4W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.1N 40.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 115SE 115SW 90NW.
50 KT... 75NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 41.3N 36.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 43.2N 32.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 44.6N 28.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 47.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 51.0N 11.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB




105
WTNT23 KNHC 232031
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 44.4W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 115SE 115SW 90NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 300SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 400SE 400SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 44.4W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.1N 40.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 115SE 115SW 90NW.
50 KT... 75NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 41.3N 36.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 43.2N 32.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
50 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 44.6N 28.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 47.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 51.0N 11.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB