Hurricane Helene

Forecast Advisory 49



073
WTNT23 KNHC 240835
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 39.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 200NW.
34 KT.......325NE 230SE 250SW 325NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 450SE 700SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 39.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 41.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 41.6N 36.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 0SE 80SW 80NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 130SW 200NW.
34 KT...325NE 230SE 250SW 325NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 43.2N 33.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 75SE 125SW 100NW.
50 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...275NE 300SE 300SW 325NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 44.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
34 KT...275NE 300SE 300SW 325NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 45.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 47.0N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 225SE 225SW 225NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N 39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN