Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 2



937
WTNT24 KNHC 280249
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 53.8W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 318 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 53.8W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 53.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.2N 55.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 29.9N 56.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.6N 57.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.6N 58.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 38.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 42.0N 52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 46.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 53.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB