Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 6



386
WTNT24 KNHC 290248
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 55.2W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 55.2W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 55.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 30.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.9N 57.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.9N 58.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.5N 59.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N 59.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 44.0N 53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 49.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 55.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB