Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 10



623
WTNT24 KNHC 300232
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 57.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 57.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 57.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.5N 58.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 31.5N 59.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 36.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 46.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 51.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 57.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA