Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 14

---

023
WTNT24 KNHC 010251
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006

INTERESTS IN NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 59.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 59.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 59.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.2N 60.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.0N 57.9W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 46.8N 53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 53.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 56.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 59.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB