Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 15

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193
WTNT24 KNHC 010852
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0900 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006

AT 340 AM AST...0740 UTC...THE CANADIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF CAPE RACE AND ST.
JOHNS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 60.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 60.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 60.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.5N 60.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.8N 58.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 44.6N 55.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 48.5N 50.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 52.5N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 60.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART