Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 16

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432
WTNT24 KNHC 011449
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
1500 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA
OF NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF CAPE RACE AND ST.
JOHNS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 60.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 60.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.2N 59.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.0N 57.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 47.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 50.5N 48.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 60.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN