Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 17

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927
WTNT24 KNHC 012043
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
2100 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA
OF NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF CAPE RACE AND ST.
JOHNS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 60.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 60.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.7N 59.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 45.1N 56.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 49.5N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 52.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN