Hurricane Isaac

Forecast Advisory 19

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256
WTNT24 KNHC 020847
TCMAT4
HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0900 UTC MON OCT 02 2006

AT 500AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CANADIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA IN
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ST. JOHNS
AND CAPE RACE.

AT 500AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BURIN
PENINSULA AND BONAVISTA PENINSULA IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 58.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 58.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 58.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 45.0N 55.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 49.7N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 52.1N 46.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N 58.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART