Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 1



412
WTNT23 KNHC 310241
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007
0300 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 66.0W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 66.0W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 38.2N 64.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 42.5N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.5N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 52.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 300SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 58.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 61.0N 23.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 65.0N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 66.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN