Tropical Storm Chantal

Forecast Advisory 2



078
WTNT23 KNHC 310846
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007
0900 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 64.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 64.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 65.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 40.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 49.2N 47.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 240SE 100SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 55.0N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 240SE 100SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 59.0N 28.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT... 0NE 240SE 120SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 61.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 63.0N 13.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N 64.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI